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  "body": "\n## Statement\n\nLet $\\set{P_\\theta : \\theta \\in \\Theta}$ be a statistical model with a loss function, where $\\Theta = \\set{\\theta_1, \\dots, \\theta_k}$ is finite.\nAllow randomized decision rules, and assume that every rule has finite [[risk|N26TSVRH2S]] at every $\\theta_i$.\nThen every [[admissible|DSTF6X8DRJ]] rule $\\delta$ is a [[Bayes rule|PP1A0JB47Q]] for some prior: there are weights $\\pi_1, \\dots, \\pi_k \\ge 0$ with $\\sum_i \\pi_i = 1$ such that\n$$\\sum_{i=1}^{k} \\pi_i R(\\theta_i, \\delta) = \\inf_{\\delta'} \\sum_{i=1}^{k} \\pi_i R(\\theta_i, \\delta').$$\n\n## Remarks\n\nConsider the risk set $S = \\set{(R(\\theta_1, \\delta), \\dots, R(\\theta_k, \\delta))}$ in $\\R^k$, over all randomized rules $\\delta$.\nMixing two rules mixes their risk points, so $S$ is a [[convex set|02AS45T3H9]].\nIf $\\delta$ is admissible, its risk point $x$ meets the convex set $\\set{y : y_i \\le x_i \\text{ for all } i}$ in $S$ only at points equal to $x$.\nA separating hyperplane through $x$ then has a normal vector with nonnegative entries, and normalizing it gives the prior $\\pi$.\nThe minimized quantity is the [[Bayes risk|VEBDNCJJTN]] of $\\pi$.\n\nA class $\\mathcal{C}$ of rules is called *complete* if every rule outside $\\mathcal{C}$ is dominated by some rule in $\\mathcal{C}$.\nComplete class theorems are results of this kind, which show that the Bayes rules, or their limits, form a complete class.\nFor infinite $\\Theta$, similar results hold under extra conditions, with limits of Bayes rules or generalized Bayes rules in place of Bayes rules.\n\nRandomization matters in the proof: without it, the risk set need not be convex.\n\n## Explanations\n\n### L1 human\n\nAny rule that cannot be beaten everywhere is, secretly, the best rule for some way of weighting the possible truths.\nSo when the set of possible truths is finite, a search for good rules can be restricted to Bayes rules.\n\n### L2 human\n\nThe theorem gives a frequentist reason to use Bayesian methods: admissibility, a purely frequentist property, forces a rule to be Bayes.\nIt reduces the search for admissible rules to the study of Bayes rules for all priors.\nThe proof is a direct application of the separating hyperplane theorem to the convex risk set.\nIn infinite-dimensional problems the analogues are more delicate, and admissible rules are typically limits of Bayes rules.\n",
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