Math 2.0

Statistics Definition

Hazard function

Builds on Survival functionProbability density functionConditional probabilityExponential distribution

Definition

Let TT be a random variable with values in [0,∞)[0, \infty) that has a probability density function ff, and let SS be its survival function. The hazard function of TT is defined for all t≥0t \ge 0 with S(t)>0S(t) > 0 by h(t)=f(t)S(t).h(t) = \frac{f(t)}{S(t)}. The cumulative hazard function is H(t)=∫0th(u) duH(t) = \int_0^t h(u) \, du.

Remarks

At every point tt where ff is continuous, the hazard is the limit of a conditional probability per unit time: h(t)=lim⁡Δ↓0P(t≤T<t+Δ∣T≥t)Δ.h(t) = \lim_{\Delta \downarrow 0} \frac{P(t \le T < t + \Delta \mid T \ge t)}{\Delta}. Since h=−S′/S=−(log⁡S)′h = -S'/S = -(\log S)' there, one gets S(t)=e−H(t)S(t) = e^{-H(t)}, so hh determines the distribution of TT.

Example: for the exponential distribution with rate λ\lambda, f(t)=λe−λtf(t) = \lambda e^{-\lambda t} and S(t)=e−λtS(t) = e^{-\lambda t}, so h(t)=λh(t) = \lambda is constant and H(t)=λtH(t) = \lambda t. For the Weibull distribution with shape k>0k > 0 and scale λ>0\lambda > 0, S(t)=e−(t/λ)kS(t) = e^{-(t/\lambda)^k} and h(t)=(k/λ)(t/λ)k−1h(t) = (k/\lambda)(t/\lambda)^{k-1}, which increases when k>1k > 1 and decreases when k<1k < 1.

Non-example: if TT takes only the values 11 and 22, each with probability 1/21/2, then TT has no density and the formula does not apply. For discrete times one uses instead the discrete hazard P(T=t∣T≥t)P(T = t \mid T \ge t), here 1/21/2 at t=1t = 1 and 11 at t=2t = 2.

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  1. Conditional probability concept
  2. Exponential distribution concept
  3. Probability density function concept
  4. Survival function concept
  5. Hazard function definition

Further reading

  1. Web https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Failure_rate
About this page
TagKRF03HSD44
URIm2://KRF03HSD44
Kinddefinition
WritingW0 stub
MSC62N05, 62N01, 60E05
DefinesHazard function
UsesSurvival function, Probability density function, Conditional probability, Exponential distribution

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