Statistical decision theory
Definition
A statistical decision problem consists of the following data.
- A statistical model on a sample space , from which an observation is drawn.
- A measurable space of actions.
- A loss function .
A decision rule is a measurable map , and its performance is measured by its risk function . Statistical decision theory is the study of decision problems through the comparison of the risk functions of decision rules.
Remarks
A rule is at least as good as if for all . This is only a partial order, so the theory adds criteria: admissibility, the minimax principle and the Bayes principle. Randomized rules, which choose an action at random given the data, are often allowed; they make the set of risk functions convex.
Example: point estimation of a normal mean is the decision problem with the law of independent normal variables with mean and variance . Here and . The rule is a measurable map from to , with risk .
Non-example: a model and a set of estimators without a loss function do not form a decision problem. Clause 3 is missing, so risks are undefined and rules cannot be compared.
Reading path
To understand this page from the ground up, read these 4 pages in order. The foundations come first.
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- no evidence level
- Loss function concept
- Risk function concept
- Statistical model concept
- Statistical decision theory definition
Further reading
About this page
| Tag | 969F3AWBKC |
|---|---|
| URI | m2://969F3AWBKC |
| Kind | definition |
| Writing | W0 stub |
| MSC | 62C05, 62A01 |
| Defines | Statistical decision theory |
| Uses | Statistical model, Loss function, Risk function |
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