CUSUM
Builds on Change detectionSequential analysisLikelihood functionStopping time
Definition
Let be observed one at a time, in the setting of the change detection problem with pre-change density and post-change density . Let be the log likelihood ratio of one observation. The CUSUM statistic is defined by For a threshold , the CUSUM procedure is the stopping time at which it raises an alarm.
Remarks
Equivalently, , with the empty sum for equal to . So is the largest log-likelihood ratio of "a change happened at time " against "no change yet", over all candidate times .
Example: for a shift of a normal mean from to with variance , one finds . After rescaling, the statistic becomes with the reference value , the form used in quality control.
Non-example: the plain cumulative sum without the reset at is not the CUSUM statistic. Before the change it drifts down to , so after a late change it needs a long time to climb back to the threshold.
The mean time to a false alarm satisfies , which guides the choice of .
Reading path
To understand this page from the ground up, read these 6 pages in order. The foundations come first.
Show the path as a graph
- no evidence level
- Expected value concept
- Likelihood function concept
- Sequential analysis concept
- Stopping time concept
- Change detection problem
- CUSUM definition
Further reading
About this page
| Tag | VYM8AJ8111 |
|---|---|
| URI | m2://VYM8AJ8111 |
| Kind | definition |
| Writing | W0 stub |
| MSC | 62L10, 62P30 |
| Defines | CUSUM |
| Uses | Change detection, Sequential analysis, Likelihood function, Stopping time |
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