Statistics Statistical decision theory Theorem
Complete class theorem
Builds on Risk functionAdmissible decision ruleBayes estimatorBayes riskConvex set
Statement
Let be a statistical model with a loss function, where is finite. Allow randomized decision rules, and assume that every rule has finite risk at every . Then every admissible rule is a Bayes rule for some prior: there are weights with such that
Remarks
Consider the risk set in , over all randomized rules . Mixing two rules mixes their risk points, so is a convex set. If is admissible, its risk point meets the convex set in only at points equal to . A separating hyperplane through then has a normal vector with nonnegative entries, and normalizing it gives the prior . The minimized quantity is the Bayes risk of .
A class of rules is called complete if every rule outside is dominated by some rule in . Complete class theorems are results of this kind, which show that the Bayes rules, or their limits, form a complete class. For infinite , similar results hold under extra conditions, with limits of Bayes rules or generalized Bayes rules in place of Bayes rules.
Randomization matters in the proof: without it, the risk set need not be convex.
Going deeper
For a student
The theorem gives a frequentist reason to use Bayesian methods: admissibility, a purely frequentist property, forces a rule to be Bayes. It reduces the search for admissible rules to the study of Bayes rules for all priors. The proof is a direct application of the separating hyperplane theorem to the convex risk set. In infinite-dimensional problems the analogues are more delicate, and admissible rules are typically limits of Bayes rules.
Reading path
To understand this page from the ground up, read these 6 pages in order. The foundations come first.
Show the path as a graph
- no evidence level
- Admissible decision rule concept
- Bayes estimator concept
- Bayes risk concept
- Convex set concept
- Risk function concept
- Complete class theorem statement
Further reading
About this page
| Tag | M3PFV1BX9V |
|---|---|
| URI | m2://M3PFV1BX9V |
| Kind | statement, theorem |
| Writing | W0 stub |
| MSC | 62C07, 62C10, 62C15 |
| Status | This copy of the site has no build data. Run m2 status M3PFV1BX9V. |
| About | Admissible decision rule, Bayes estimator |
| Uses | Risk function, Admissible decision rule, Bayes estimator, Bayes risk, Convex set |
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