Math 2.0

Statistics Nonparametric inference Theorem

Dvoretzky–Kiefer–Wolfowitz inequality

Builds on Empirical distribution functionIndependent and identically distributed random variablesCumulative distribution function

Statement

Let X1,…,XnX_1, \dots, X_n be i.i.d. real random variables with cumulative distribution function FF. Let Fn(x)=1n#{i:Xi≤x}F_n(x) = \frac{1}{n} \#\set{i : X_i \le x} be their empirical distribution function. Then for every ε>0\varepsilon > 0, P(sup⁡x∈ℝ∣Fn(x)−F(x)∣>ε)≤2e−2nε2.P\Big( \sup_{x \in \R} \abs{F_n(x) - F(x)} > \varepsilon \Big) \le 2 e^{-2 n \varepsilon^2}.

Remarks

Dvoretzky, Kiefer and Wolfowitz proved in 1956 a bound of the form Ce−2nε2C e^{-2n\varepsilon^2} with an unspecified constant CC. Massart showed in 1990 that C=2C = 2 works, and this constant cannot be lowered. The reduction to the uniform law on [0,1][0, 1] uses the quantile transform. The variable XiX_i has the same law as Q(Ui)Q(U_i), for UiU_i uniform and QQ the quantile function of FF. The supremum can only shrink under this change. The hard part is the sharp tail bound for the uniform case.

Example: a confidence band. Given α∈(0,1)\alpha \in (0, 1), put ε=ln⁡(2/α)/(2n)\varepsilon = \sqrt{\ln(2/\alpha) / (2n)}, so that 2e−2nε2=α2e^{-2n\varepsilon^2} = \alpha. Then the band Fn(x)±εF_n(x) \pm \varepsilon contains the whole graph of FF with probability at least 1−α1 - \alpha. For n=1000n = 1000 and α=0.05\alpha = 0.05, this gives ε≈0.043\varepsilon \approx 0.043.

The bound needs no assumption on FF: no continuity and no moments. It does need independence and a common law; for dependent data FnF_n can stay far from FF.

Going deeper

For a student

The inequality is a quantitative form of the Glivenko–Cantelli theorem. Since ∑n2e−2nε2<∞\sum_n 2e^{-2n\varepsilon^2} < \infty, the Borel–Cantelli lemma gives sup⁡x∣Fn−F∣→0\sup_x \abs{F_n - F} \to 0 almost surely. It also bounds the tail of the Kolmogorov–Smirnov statistic: P(nDn>t)≤2e−2t2P(\sqrt{n} D_n > t) \le 2e^{-2t^2} for every nn, which matches the leading term of the limiting Kolmogorov law. It is a common tool in learning theory and in the analysis of nonparametric estimators, because it is non-asymptotic.

Reading path

To understand this page from the ground up, read these 50 pages in order. The foundations come first.

  1. Construction of the reals from Cauchy sequences concept
  2. Element definition
  3. Empirical distribution function concept
  4. Integers object
  5. Ordered field definition
  6. Proposition concept
  7. Random experiment concept
  8. Rational numbers object
  9. Real numbers object
  10. Set definition
  11. Ring of integers statement
  12. Disjunction definition
  13. Implication definition
  14. Predicate definition
  15. Ordered pair definition
  16. Union definition
  17. Sample space definition
  18. Existential quantifier definition
  19. The rationals form a field statement
  20. Universal quantifier definition
  21. Cartesian product definition
  22. Subset definition
  23. The rationals form an ordered field statement
  24. Uniqueness quantifier definition
  25. Binary relation definition
  26. Universal set definition
  27. Order on the reals definition
  28. Power set definition
  29. Complement definition
  30. Function definition
  31. Interval definition
  32. Preimage of a set definition
  33. Sigma-algebra definition
  34. Event definition
  35. Borel sigma-algebra definition
  36. Probability axioms concept
  37. Probability measure definition
  38. Probability distribution definition
  39. Probability space definition
  40. Conditional probability definition
  41. Random variable definition
  42. Independence of two events definition
  43. Cumulative distribution function definition
  44. Law of a random variable definition
  45. Mutual independence of events definition
  46. Identically distributed random variables definition
  47. Independent sigma-algebras definition
  48. Independence of random variables definition
  49. Independent and identically distributed random variables definition
  50. Dvoretzky–Kiefer–Wolfowitz inequality statement

Further reading

  1. Web https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dvoretzky%E2%80%93Kiefer%E2%80%93Wolfowitz_inequality
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