Math 2.0

Statistics Definition

Minimum-variance unbiased estimator

Builds on EstimatorBias of an estimatorVarianceBernoulli distribution

Definition

Let {Pθ:θ∈Θ}\set{P_\theta : \theta \in \Theta} be a family of distributions of the data XX, and let g ⁣:Θ→ℝg \colon \Theta \to \R be the quantity to estimate. An estimator T=T(X)T = T(X) is unbiased for gg if Eθ(T)=g(θ)E_\theta(T) = g(\theta) for every θ∈Θ\theta \in \Theta, that is, its bias is zero. Let TT be an unbiased estimator of gg with Var⁡θ(T)<∞\operatorname{Var}_\theta(T) < \infty for all θ\theta. It is a minimum-variance unbiased estimator, or uniformly minimum-variance unbiased estimator (UMVUE), if Var⁡θ(T)≤Var⁡θ(T′)\operatorname{Var}_\theta(T) \le \operatorname{Var}_\theta(T') for every unbiased estimator T′T' of gg and every θ∈Θ\theta \in \Theta.

Remarks

Here Var⁡θ\operatorname{Var}_\theta is the variance when X∼PθX \sim P_\theta.

Example: let X1,…,XnX_1, \dots, X_n be i.i.d. Bernoulli(pp) with Θ=(0,1)\Theta = (0, 1). The proportion Xˉ\bar{X} is unbiased with variance p(1−p)/np(1-p)/n. The Fisher information of the sample is n/(p(1−p))n/(p(1-p)), so the Cramér–Rao bound for unbiased estimators of pp is p(1−p)/np(1-p)/n. The estimator Xˉ\bar{X} attains it at every pp, so Xˉ\bar{X} is the UMVUE of pp.

Non-example: for n≥3n \ge 3, T′=(X1+X2)/2T' = (X_1 + X_2)/2 is unbiased, but its variance p(1−p)/2p(1-p)/2 exceeds p(1−p)/np(1-p)/n for every pp, so it fails the variance inequality.

The UMVUE need not exist, and an estimator that attains the Cramér–Rao bound need not exist even when the UMVUE does. If SS is a complete sufficient statistic and TT is unbiased, then E(T∣S)E(T \mid S) is the UMVUE; this is the Lehmann–Scheffé theorem.

Reading path

To understand this page from the ground up, read these 60 pages in order. The foundations come first.

  1. Construction of the reals from Cauchy sequences concept
  2. Element definition
  3. Integers object
  4. Ordered field definition
  5. Proposition concept
  6. Random experiment concept
  7. Rational numbers object
  8. Real numbers object
  9. Set definition
  10. Ring of integers statement
  11. Disjunction definition
  12. Implication definition
  13. Predicate definition
  14. Bernoulli trial concept
  15. Ordered pair definition
  16. Union definition
  17. Sample space definition
  18. The rationals form a field statement
  19. Existential quantifier definition
  20. Universal quantifier definition
  21. Cartesian product definition
  22. Subset definition
  23. The rationals form an ordered field statement
  24. Uniqueness quantifier definition
  25. Binary relation definition
  26. Universal set definition
  27. Order on the reals definition
  28. Power set definition
  29. Complement definition
  30. Function definition
  31. Interval definition
  32. Injective function definition
  33. Preimage of a set definition
  34. Sigma-algebra definition
  35. Countable set definition
  36. Event definition
  37. Borel sigma-algebra definition
  38. Probability axioms concept
  39. Probability measure definition
  40. Probability distribution definition
  41. Probability space definition
  42. Conditional probability definition
  43. Random variable definition
  44. Discrete random variable definition
  45. Law of a random variable definition
  46. Independence of two events definition
  47. Random variable with a density definition
  48. Probability mass function definition
  49. Identically distributed random variables definition
  50. Expected value definition
  51. Mutual independence of events definition
  52. Variance definition
  53. Bernoulli distribution definition
  54. Independent sigma-algebras definition
  55. Independence of random variables definition
  56. Independent and identically distributed random variables definition
  57. Statistic definition
  58. Estimator definition
  59. Bias of an estimator definition
  60. Minimum-variance unbiased estimator definition

Further reading

  1. Web https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minimum-variance_unbiased_estimator
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UsesEstimator, Bias of an estimator, Variance, Bernoulli distribution

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