Bayes estimator
Builds on Bayes riskRisk functionLoss functionPrior probabilityPosterior probabilityEstimatorBeta distributionBinomial distribution
Definition
Let be a statistical model with a loss function , and let be a prior on . For an estimator , let be its Bayes risk, the risk averaged over . An estimator is a Bayes estimator with respect to if and where the infimum is over all estimators .
Remarks
If , an estimator that minimizes the posterior expected loss for almost every is a Bayes estimator. Under squared error loss , the Bayes estimator is the posterior mean . Under absolute error loss, it is a posterior median.
Example: let be binomial with parameters and , and let be the beta distribution with parameters . The posterior is the beta distribution with parameters and . So under squared error loss the Bayes estimator is its mean .
Non-example: for the uniform prior, , the Bayes estimator is . The proportion differs from it whenever , and for its Bayes risk is larger, so is not the Bayes estimator for this prior.
Reading path
To understand this page from the ground up, read these 48 pages in order. The foundations come first.
- Bayes risk concept
- Beta distribution concept
- Binomial distribution concept
- Construction of the reals from Cauchy sequences concept
- Element definition
- Estimator concept
- Integers object
- Loss function concept
- Ordered field definition
- Proposition concept
- Random experiment concept
- Rational numbers object
- Risk function concept
- Set definition
- Ring of integers statement
- Conjunction definition
- Disjunction definition
- Implication definition
- Predicate definition
- Empty set object
- Family of sets definition
- Intersection definition
- Union definition
- Existential quantifier definition
- Sample space definition
- Universal quantifier definition
- The rationals form a field statement
- Disjoint sets definition
- Union of a family of sets definition
- Subset definition
- The rationals form an ordered field statement
- Partition of a set definition
- Universal set definition
- Power set definition
- Order on the reals definition
- Complement definition
- Interval definition
- Sigma-algebra definition
- Event definition
- Probability axioms concept
- Probability measure definition
- Probability space definition
- Conditional probability definition
- Law of total probability statement
- Bayes' theorem statement
- Prior probability concept
- Posterior probability concept
- Bayes estimator definition
Further reading
About this page
| Tag | 7T98FQFGYY |
|---|---|
| URI | m2://7T98FQFGYY |
| Kind | definition |
| Writing | W0 stub |
| MSC | 62C10, 62F15 |
| Defines | Bayes estimator |
| Uses | Bayes risk, Risk function, Loss function, Prior probability, Posterior probability, Estimator, Beta distribution, Binomial distribution |
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