Bayes risk
Builds on Risk functionPrior probabilityLebesgue integralBinomial distribution
Definition
Let be a statistical model with a loss function, and let be the risk function of a decision rule . Let carry a σ-algebra, and let be a probability measure on , the prior, such that is measurable for the rules considered. The Bayes risk of under is The Bayes risk of the prior is , the infimum over all decision rules.
Remarks
The integral is a Lebesgue integral of a nonnegative function, so it always exists, possibly infinite. By Fubini's theorem, is also the expected loss when is drawn from and then from .
Example: let be binomial with parameters and , with squared error loss and . Then . For the uniform prior, .
Non-example: the maximum is not a Bayes risk of for the uniform prior. It is the worst-case risk used in the minimax principle; it equals only for priors that put all their mass where the risk is maximal.
Reading path
To understand this page from the ground up, read these 44 pages in order. The foundations come first.
- Binomial distribution concept
- Construction of the reals from Cauchy sequences concept
- Element definition
- Integers object
- Lebesgue integral concept
- Ordered field definition
- Proposition concept
- Random experiment concept
- Rational numbers object
- Risk function concept
- Set definition
- Ring of integers statement
- Conjunction definition
- Disjunction definition
- Implication definition
- Predicate definition
- Empty set object
- Family of sets definition
- Intersection definition
- Union definition
- Sample space definition
- The rationals form a field statement
- Existential quantifier definition
- Universal quantifier definition
- Disjoint sets definition
- Subset definition
- Union of a family of sets definition
- The rationals form an ordered field statement
- Universal set definition
- Partition of a set definition
- Power set definition
- Order on the reals definition
- Complement definition
- Interval definition
- Sigma-algebra definition
- Event definition
- Probability axioms concept
- Probability measure definition
- Probability space definition
- Conditional probability definition
- Law of total probability statement
- Bayes' theorem statement
- Prior probability concept
- Bayes risk definition
Further reading
About this page
| Tag | FX1A4SN6CF |
|---|---|
| URI | m2://FX1A4SN6CF |
| Kind | definition |
| Writing | W0 stub |
| MSC | 62C10 |
| Defines | Bayes risk |
| Uses | Risk function, Prior probability, Lebesgue integral, Binomial distribution |
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