Math 2.0

Statistics Sufficiency and information Theorem

Fisher–Neyman factorization theorem

Builds on Sufficient statisticStatistical modelRadon–Nikodym derivative

Statement

Let {Pθ:θ∈Θ}\set{P_\theta : \theta \in \Theta} be a statistical model on a measurable space (S,𝒮)(S, \mathcal{S}) that is dominated by a σ\sigma-finite measure μ\mu: each PθP_\theta has a density fθ=dPθ/dμf_\theta = dP_\theta/d\mu. Let T ⁣:S→𝒯T \colon S \to \mathcal{T} be a measurable map into a measurable space 𝒯\mathcal{T}. Then TT is a sufficient statistic for θ\theta if and only if the following holds. There are measurable functions gθ ⁣:𝒯→[0,∞)g_\theta \colon \mathcal{T} \to [0, \infty), for θ∈Θ\theta \in \Theta, and h ⁣:S→[0,∞)h \colon S \to [0, \infty) such that, for every θ∈Θ\theta \in \Theta, fθ(x)=gθ(T(x))h(x)for μ-almost every x∈S.f_\theta(x) = g_\theta\left(T(x)\right) h(x) \quad \text{for } \mu\text{-almost every } x \in S.

Remarks

In the discrete case the proof is a direct computation: if the factorization holds, then Pθ(X=x∣T=t)=h(x)/∑y:T(y)=th(y)P_\theta(X = x \mid T = t) = h(x)/\sum_{y : T(y) = t} h(y), which does not depend on θ\theta; conversely one takes gθ(t)=Pθ(T=t)g_\theta(t) = P_\theta(T = t) and h(x)=P(X=x∣T=T(x))h(x) = P(X = x \mid T = T(x)). The general case is due to Halmos and Savage. It first replaces μ\mu by a probability measure λ=∑jcjPθj\lambda = \sum_j c_j P_{\theta_j}, a countable convex combination equivalent to the whole family. It then uses Radon–Nikodym derivatives with respect to λ\lambda. Example: for i.i.d. 𝒩(μ,σ2)\mathcal{N}(\mu, \sigma^2) data, f(μ,σ2)(x)=(2πσ2)−n/2exp⁡(−∑ixi2−2μ∑ixi+nμ22σ2),f_{(\mu, \sigma^2)}(x) = (2\pi\sigma^2)^{-n/2} \exp\left(-\frac{\sum_i x_i^2 - 2\mu \sum_i x_i + n\mu^2}{2\sigma^2}\right), so T(x)=(∑ixi,∑ixi2)T(x) = \left(\sum_i x_i, \sum_i x_i^2\right) is sufficient for (μ,σ2)(\mu, \sigma^2), with h=1h = 1. Example: for i.i.d. uniform data on [0,θ][0, \theta], fθ(x)=θ−n𝟏{max⁡ixi≤θ}𝟏{min⁡ixi≥0}f_\theta(x) = \theta^{-n}\mathbf{1}\set{\max_i x_i \le \theta}\mathbf{1}\set{\min_i x_i \ge 0}, so max⁡ixi\max_i x_i is sufficient. The domination hypothesis is needed for the densities fθf_\theta to exist, so without it the criterion cannot even be stated.

Going deeper

For a student

The factorization criterion is the standard way to find sufficient statistics in practice. For an exponential family with density h(x)exp⁡(η(θ)⋅T(x)−A(θ))h(x)\exp(\eta(\theta) \cdot T(x) - A(\theta)), it shows at once that TT is sufficient. It also shows that the likelihood function, up to a factor free of θ\theta, depends on the data only through any sufficient statistic, which links sufficiency with the likelihood principle. It is the first step towards the Rao–Blackwell theorem and the Lehmann–Scheffé theorem.

Reading path

To understand this page from the ground up, read these 66 pages in order. The foundations come first.

  1. Absolutely continuous measure concept
  2. Almost everywhere concept
  3. Construction of the reals from Cauchy sequences concept
  4. Element definition
  5. Integers object
  6. Integral of a non-negative function concept
  7. Measurable function concept
  8. Measure space concept
  9. Measure with density concept
  10. Ordered field definition
  11. Proposition concept
  12. Random experiment concept
  13. Rational numbers object
  14. Real numbers object
  15. Sigma-finite measure concept
  16. Set definition
  17. Ring of integers statement
  18. Radon–Nikodym theorem statement
  19. Disjunction definition
  20. Implication definition
  21. Predicate definition
  22. Ordered pair definition
  23. Union definition
  24. Existential quantifier definition
  25. Radon–Nikodym derivative definition
  26. Universal quantifier definition
  27. Sample space definition
  28. The rationals form a field statement
  29. Cartesian product definition
  30. Subset definition
  31. Uniqueness quantifier definition
  32. The rationals form an ordered field statement
  33. Binary relation definition
  34. Universal set definition
  35. Power set definition
  36. Order on the reals definition
  37. Function definition
  38. Complement definition
  39. Interval definition
  40. Injective function definition
  41. Preimage of a set definition
  42. Sigma-algebra definition
  43. Countable set definition
  44. Event definition
  45. Borel sigma-algebra definition
  46. Probability axioms concept
  47. Probability measure definition
  48. Probability distribution definition
  49. Statistical model definition
  50. Probability space definition
  51. Random variable definition
  52. Conditional probability definition
  53. Discrete random variable definition
  54. Law of a random variable definition
  55. Random variable with a density definition
  56. Independence of two events definition
  57. Expected value definition
  58. Identically distributed random variables definition
  59. Mutual independence of events definition
  60. Conditional expectation definition
  61. Independent sigma-algebras definition
  62. Independence of random variables definition
  63. Independent and identically distributed random variables definition
  64. Statistic definition
  65. Sufficient statistic definition
  66. Fisher–Neyman factorization theorem statement

Further reading

  1. Web https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sufficient_statistic, Fisher–Neyman factorization theorem
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