Math 2.0

Statistics Sufficiency and information Theorem

Basu's theorem

Builds on Sufficient statisticComplete statisticAncillary statisticIndependence of random variablesConditional expectation

Statement

Let {Pθ:θ∈Θ}\set{P_\theta : \theta \in \Theta} be a family of probability measures for the data XX. Let T=T(X)T = T(X) be a sufficient statistic that is boundedly complete, and let V=V(X)V = V(X) be an ancillary statistic. Then, for every θ∈Θ\theta \in \Theta, the statistics TT and VV are independent under PθP_\theta.

Remarks

Proof idea: fix a measurable set BB and let q=Pθ(V∈B)q = P_\theta(V \in B), which does not depend on θ\theta since VV is ancillary. By sufficiency, the conditional probability k(T)=Pθ(V∈B∣T)k(T) = P_\theta(V \in B \mid T) can be chosen free of θ\theta. Then k(T)−qk(T) - q is bounded and Eθ[k(T)−q]=0E_\theta[k(T) - q] = 0 for all θ\theta, so bounded completeness gives k(T)=qk(T) = q almost surely; that is, V∈BV \in B is independent of TT. Example: for X1,…,XnX_1, \dots, X_n i.i.d. 𝒩(μ,σ2)\mathcal{N}(\mu, \sigma^2) with σ2\sigma^2 known and μ∈ℝ\mu \in \R, Xˉ\bar{X} is complete and sufficient for μ\mu, and the sample variance S2S^2 is ancillary; so Xˉ\bar{X} and S2S^2 are independent. Since σ2\sigma^2 was arbitrary, this proves the independence of Xˉ\bar{X} and S2S^2 for every normal sample. Completeness cannot be dropped: for n≥2n \ge 2 the whole sample T=(X1,…,Xn)T = (X_1, \dots, X_n) is sufficient, and V=X1−X2V = X_1 - X_2 is ancillary, but VV is a non-constant function of TT, so they are not independent.

Going deeper

For a student

The best-known use is the independence of the sample mean and the sample variance of a normal sample, which underlies the tt-distribution of n(Xˉ−μ)/S\sqrt{n}(\bar{X} - \mu)/S. More generally, in an exponential family of full rank the natural sufficient statistic is complete, so it is independent of every ancillary statistic. The theorem also allows one to compute Eθ[V∣T]E_\theta[V \mid T] as Eθ[V]E_\theta[V] for an integrable ancillary VV, which simplifies Rao–Blackwell computations.

Reading path

To understand this page from the ground up, read these 59 pages in order. The foundations come first.

  1. Construction of the reals from Cauchy sequences concept
  2. Element definition
  3. Integers object
  4. Ordered field definition
  5. Proposition concept
  6. Random experiment concept
  7. Rational numbers object
  8. Real numbers object
  9. Set definition
  10. Ring of integers statement
  11. Disjunction definition
  12. Implication definition
  13. Predicate definition
  14. Ordered pair definition
  15. Union definition
  16. Sample space definition
  17. The rationals form a field statement
  18. Existential quantifier definition
  19. Universal quantifier definition
  20. Cartesian product definition
  21. Subset definition
  22. The rationals form an ordered field statement
  23. Uniqueness quantifier definition
  24. Binary relation definition
  25. Universal set definition
  26. Order on the reals definition
  27. Power set definition
  28. Complement definition
  29. Function definition
  30. Interval definition
  31. Injective function definition
  32. Preimage of a set definition
  33. Sigma-algebra definition
  34. Countable set definition
  35. Event definition
  36. Borel sigma-algebra definition
  37. Probability axioms concept
  38. Probability measure definition
  39. Probability distribution definition
  40. Statistical model definition
  41. Probability space definition
  42. Conditional probability definition
  43. Random variable definition
  44. Discrete random variable definition
  45. Law of a random variable definition
  46. Independence of two events definition
  47. Random variable with a density definition
  48. Identically distributed random variables definition
  49. Expected value definition
  50. Mutual independence of events definition
  51. Conditional expectation definition
  52. Independent sigma-algebras definition
  53. Independence of random variables definition
  54. Independent and identically distributed random variables definition
  55. Statistic definition
  56. Sufficient statistic definition
  57. Ancillary statistic definition
  58. Complete statistic definition
  59. Basu's theorem statement

Further reading

  1. Web https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basu%27s_theorem
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