Probability theory and stochastic processes Markov processes Theorem
Chapman–Kolmogorov equation
Builds on Markov chainTransition matrixLaw of total probabilityMarkov property
Statement
Let be a time-homogeneous Markov chain on a countable state space . For , let be the -step transition probabilities. Then for all and , In matrix form, , so for the transition matrix .
Remarks
Proof: condition on the state at the intermediate time, with the law of total probability, and use the Markov property. The equation says that to go from to in steps, the chain must be at some state after steps. For a Markov process with transition kernels , the equation reads for .
History
The equation is named after Sydney Chapman and Andrey Kolmogorov.
Reading path
To understand this page from the ground up, read these 60 pages in order. The foundations come first.
- Construction of the reals from Cauchy sequences concept
- Element definition
- Integers object
- Ordered field definition
- Proposition concept
- Random experiment concept
- Rational numbers object
- Real numbers object
- Set definition
- Ring of integers statement
- Conjunction definition
- Disjunction definition
- Implication definition
- Predicate definition
- Empty set object
- Family of sets definition
- Ordered pair definition
- Intersection definition
- Union definition
- Sample space definition
- The rationals form a field statement
- Existential quantifier definition
- Universal quantifier definition
- Disjoint sets definition
- Cartesian product definition
- Subset definition
- Union of a family of sets definition
- The rationals form an ordered field statement
- Uniqueness quantifier definition
- Universal set definition
- Binary relation definition
- Partition of a set definition
- Order on the reals definition
- Power set definition
- Complement definition
- Function definition
- Interval definition
- Injective function definition
- Preimage of a set definition
- Sigma-algebra definition
- Countable set definition
- Event definition
- Borel sigma-algebra definition
- Probability axioms concept
- Probability measure definition
- Probability space definition
- Conditional probability definition
- Random variable definition
- Independence of two events definition
- Discrete random variable definition
- Stochastic process concept
- Law of total probability statement
- Random variable with a density definition
- Conditional independence definition
- Expected value definition
- Conditional expectation definition
- Markov property definition
- Markov chain definition
- Transition matrix definition
- Chapman–Kolmogorov equation statement
Where this leads
2 pages build on this one.
Further reading
- Web https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chapman–Kolmogorov_equation, Application to time-dilated Markov chains
About this page
| Tag | 01APZ8GDQH |
|---|---|
| URI | m2://01APZ8GDQH |
| Aliases | chapman-kolmogorov-equations |
| Kind | statement, theorem |
| Writing | W1 stated |
| MSC | 60J10 |
| Status | This copy of the site has no build data. Run m2 status 01APZ8GDQH. |
| Uses | Markov chain, Transition matrix, Law of total probability, Markov property |
| Same as |
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